Maererano neChina Customs statistics, kubva muna Ndira kusvika Zvita 2022, zvipfeko zvenyika yangu (kusanganisira zvipfeko zvembatya, zvakafanana pazasi) zvakatumira kunze kwenyika inokwana mabhiriyoni 175.43 emadhora ekuAmerica, kuwedzera kwegore negore kwe3.2%.Pasi pemamiriro ezvinhu akaoma kumba nekune dzimwe nyika, uye pasi pesimba repamusoro-soro yegore rapera, hazvisi nyore kune zvipfeko kunze kwenyika kuchengetedza kumwe kukura muna 2022. Mumakore matatu apfuura ehosha, zvipfeko zvenyika yangu kunze kwenyika zvakashandura maitiro ekudzikira gore negore kubva pakasvika 186.28 bhiriyoni emadhora ekuAmerica muna 2014. Huyemu hwekutengesa kunze kwenyika muna 2022 huchawedzera neinoda kusvika 20% kana zvichienzaniswa ne2019 denda risati rasvika, iro rinoratidza zvizere kukanganiswa kwepasi rose rekutengesa kubva pakatanga kubuda.Pasi pemamiriro ekuvhunduka uye kusaenzana pakati pekupa uye kudiwa mumusika, indasitiri yembatya yeChina ine hunhu hwekusimba kukuru, kugona kwakakwana uye kukwikwidza kwakasimba.
Tichitarisa mamiriro ekunze ekunze mumwedzi wega wega muna 2022, inoratidza maitiro ekutanga uye akaderera.Kunze kwekuderera kwekutengeswa kunze kwenyika muna Kukadzi nekuda kwekukanganisa kweMutambo weChirimo, kutengesa kunze kwenyika mumwedzi wega wega kubva munaNdira kusvika Nyamavhuvhu kwakachengetedza kukura, uye kutengesa kunze kwenyika mumwedzi wega wega kubva munaGunyana kusvika Zvita kwakaratidza kuderera.Mumwedzi waZvita, kutengeswa kwembatya kwaive US $ 14.29 bhiriyoni, kuderera kwegore-pagore kwe10.1%.Kuenzaniswa nekuderera kwe16.8% muna Gumiguru uye 14.5% munaNovember, kuderera kuri kuderera.Muzvikamu zvina zvegore ra2022, mbatya dzenyika yangu dzaitengeswa kunze kwenyika dzaive 7.4%, 16.1%, 6.3% uye -13.8% gore-pagore zvichiteerana.kuwedzera.
Kutengeswa kunze kwembatya dzisingatonhori uye dzekunze kwakakura nekukurumidza
Kutengeswa kunze kwemitambo, zvipfeko zvekunze uye zvinotonhora zvakachengetedza kukura nekukurumidza.Kubva muna Ndira kusvika Zvita, kutengeswa kwehembe, mabhachi/mbatya dzinotonhora, masikafu/tai/hengechepfu kwakawedzera ne26,2%, 20,1% ne22%.Kutengeswa kunze kwezvipfeko zvemitambo, madhirezi, T-shirts, majuzi, hosiery uye magurovhosi akawedzera neinenge 10%.Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kwemasutu / masutu enguva dzose, matirauzi uye corsets kwakawedzera neisingasviki 5%.Kutengeswa kunze kwembatya dzemukati/mapijama nembatya dzevana kwakadzikira zvishoma ne2.6% uye 2.2%.
Muna Zvita, kunze kwekutengesa kunze kwezvikafu / zvisungo / mahengechepfu, izvo zvakawedzera ne21,4%, kutengeswa kwemamwe marudzi ese kwakaderera.Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kwembatya dzevana, zvipfeko zvemukati/mapijama kwakadzikira nechikamu che20%, uye kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kwemabhurugwa, madhirezi, nemajuzi kwakaderera neinopfuura 10%.
Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kuASEAN kwawedzera zvakanyanya
Kubva munaNdira kusvika Zvita, kutengeswa kweChina kuUnited States neJapan kwaive 38.32 bhiriyoni US madhora uye 14.62 bhiriyoni US madhora zvichiteerana, gore negore kuderera kwe3% ne0.3% zvichiteerana, uye zvipfeko zvinotengeswa kuEU neASEAN zvaive. 33.33 bhiriyoni US madhora uye 17.07 bhiriyoni US madhora, ukuwo, gore-pa-gore kuwedzera kwe3.1% , 25%.Kubva muna Ndira kusvika Zvita, kutengesa kweChina kumisika mitatu yechinyakare kunze kwenyika yeUnited States, European Union, neJapan yakasvika US$86.27 bhiriyoni, kuderera kwegore negore kwe0.2%, kunotora 49.2% yembatya dzese dzenyika yangu. kuderera kwe1.8 muzana kubva panguva imwechete muna 2022. Musika weASEAN wakaratidza kukwanisa kukuru kwekusimudzira.Pasi pemugumisiro wakanaka wekushandiswa kunoshanda kweRCEP, kutumira kunze kwenyika kuASEAN kwakaverengera 9.7% yezvese zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika, kuwedzera kwe1.7 muzana mapoinzi panguva imwe cheteyo muna 2022.
Pamisika mikuru yemisika, kubva muna Ndira kusvika Zvita, kutengeswa kuLatin America kwakawedzera ne17,6%, kutengeswa kuAfrica kwakadzikira ne8.6%, kutengeswa kune dzimwe nyika dziri pedyo ne "Belt and Road" kwakawedzera ne13.4%, uye kutengeswa kune dzimwe nyika dzeRCEP. wakashanduka kusvika muna +10.9%.Kubva pakuona kwemisika mikuru yenyika imwe chete, kutengesa kunze kwenyika kuKyrgyzstan kwakawedzera ne71%, kutengeswa kuSouth Korea neAustralia kwakawedzera ne5% uye 15.2% maererano;kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kuUnited Kingdom, Russia neCanada kwakadzikira ne12.5%, 19.2% uye 16.1% zvichiteerana.
Muna Zvita, kutengesa kunze kwenyika kumisika mikuru zvese zvakaramba.Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kuUS kwakadzikira 23.3%, mwedzi wechishanu wakateedzana wekuderera.Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kuEU kwakadonha 30.2%, mwedzi wechina wakateedzana wekuderera.Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kuJapan kwakadonha 5.5%, mwedzi wechipiri wakateedzana wekuderera.Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kuASEAN kwakadzora kuderera kwemwedzi wapfuura uye kwakawedzera ne24.1%, pakati peiyo inotengeswa kuVietnam yakawedzera ne456.8%.
Yakagadzika chikamu chemusika muEU
Kubva muna Ndira kusvika muna Mbudzi, China yakaverengera 23.4%, 30.5%, 55.1%, 26.9%, 31.8%, 33.1% uye 61.2% yemugove wemusika wembatya weUnited States, European Union, Japan, United Kingdom, Canada. , South Korea neAustralia, iyo iyo United States Migove yemusika muEU, Japan, neCanada yakaderera ne4.6, 0.6, 1.4, uye 4.1 muzana yegore negore zvichiteerana, uye migove yemusika muUnited Kingdom, South Korea, neAustralia yakawedzera ne4.2, 0.2, uye 0.4 muzana mapoinzi gore negore zvichiteerana.
International market situation
Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kubva kumisika mikuru kwakadzikira zvakanyanya muna Mbudzi
Kubva munaNdira kusvika Mbudzi 2022, pakati pemisika mikuru yepasirese, United States, European Union, Japan, United Kingdom, Canada, South Korea, neAustralia zvese zvakawana kukura kwekutenga zvipfeko kunze kwenyika, nekuwedzera kwegore negore kwe11.3% , 14.1%, 3.9%, 1.7%, 14.6%, uye 15.8% maererano.% uye 15.9%.
Nekuda kwekuderera kwakanyanya kweEuro neYen yekuJapan zvichienzaniswa nedhora rekuAmerica, kukura kwezvakatengwa kunze kwenyika kubva kuEU neJapan kwakadzikira maererano nemadhora ekuAmerica.Kubva munaNdira kusvika munaNovember, kutengeswa kwezvipfeko zveEU kwakawedzera ne29,2% mumashoko eeuro, zvakanyanya kudarika kuwedzera kwe14.1% mumashoko emadhora eUS.Kutengeswa kwembatya dzekuJapan kwakakura ne3.9% chete mumadhora ekuUS, asi kwakawedzera ne22.6% muyen yeJapan.
Mushure mekukura nekukurumidza kwe16.6% muzvikamu zvitatu zvekutanga zve2022, kutengeswa kweUS kwakadonha ne4.7% uye 17.3% muna Gumiguru naNovember zvakateerana.Zvipfeko zveEU zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika mumwedzi gumi yekutanga ye2022 zvakaramba zvichikura, nekuwedzera kwe17.1%.MunaNovember, kutengeswa kwezvipfeko zveEU kwakaratidza kuderera kukuru, pasi pe12.6% gore negore.Zvipfeko zveJapan zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika kubva muna Chivabvu kusvika Gumiguru 2022 zvakaramba zvichikura, uye munaNovember, zvipfeko zvekunze zvakadonha zvakare, nekudonha kwe2%.
Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kubva kuVietnam neBangladesh kuri kuwedzera
Muna 2022, huwandu hwekugadzira mudzimba hweVietnam, Bangladesh uye zvimwe zvipfeko zvikuru zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika zvichapora uye kuwedzera nekukurumidza, uye kutengesa kunze kwenyika kunoratidza maitiro ekukura nekukurumidza.Kubva pakuona kwezvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika kubva kumisika mikuru yepasirese, kubva muna Ndira kusvika muna Mbudzi, misika mikuru yepasi rose yakaunza US$35.78 bhiriyoni yembatya kubva kuVietnam, kuwedzera kwegore negore kwe24,4%.11.7%, 13.1% uye 49.8%.Misika mikuru yepasi rose yakaunza US$42.49 bhiriyoni yembatya kubva kuBangladesh, kuwedzera kwegore negore kwe36.9%.EU, United States, United Kingdom, neCanada zvinhu zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika kubva kuBangladesh zvakawedzera ne37%, 42.2%, 48.9% ne39.6% gore negore zvichiteerana.Zvipfeko zvinotengeswa kubva kuCambodia nePakistan mumisika mikuru yenyika yakawedzera nepamusoro pe20%, uye zvipfeko zvinotengeswa kubva kuMyanmar zvakawedzera ne55,1%.
Kubva munaNdira kusvika munaNovember, migove yemusika yeVietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia neIndia muUnited States yakawedzera ne2.2, 1.9, 1 uye 1.1 muzana mapoinzi gore negore zvichiteerana;mugove wemusika weBangladesh muEU wakawedzera ne3,5 muzana mapoinzi gore negore;1.4 uye 1.5 muzana mapoinzi.
2023 Trend Outlook
Hupfumi hwenyika hunoramba huri pasi pekumanikidzwa uye kukura kunodzikira
IMF yakati muna Ndira 2023 World Economic Outlook kuti kukura kwepasi rose kunotarisirwa kudzikira kubva pa3.4% muna 2022 kusvika pa2.9% muna 2023, kusati kwakwira kusvika pa3.1% muna 2024. Mafungiro egore ra2023 akakwira ne0.2% pamusoro pezvaitarisirwa muna Gumiguru 2022. World Economic Outlook, asi pasi peavhareji yenhoroondo (2000-2019) ye3.8%.Chirevo chinofanotaura kuti GDP yeUnited States ichakura ne 1.4% muna 2023, uye eurozone ichakura ne 0.7%, nepo United Kingdom ndiyo chete nyika pakati pehupfumi hukuru hwakabudirira huchaderera, nekufanotaura kuderera kwe0.6 %.Chirevo ichi chinofanotaurawo kuti kukura kwehupfumi hweChina muna 2023 uye 2024 kuchava 5.2% uye 4.5%, maererano;Kukura kwehupfumi hweIndia muna 2023 na2024 kuchave 6.1% uye 6.8%, zvichiteerana.Kupararira uku kwadzikisira kukura kweChina kusvika muna 2022, asi kuvhurwazve kwazvino kwakagadzira nzira yekukurumidza-kupfuura-inotarisirwa kupora.Global inflation inotarisirwa kudzika kubva pa8.8% muna2022 kusvika pa6.6% muna2023 ne4.3% muna2024, asi inoramba iri pamusoro pe pre-denda (2017-2019) level inosvika 3.5%.
Nguva yekutumira: Feb-24-2023